Thursday, October 23, 2008

Week 3: Phil's LPLOTW

Short and sweet this week:

5 games I like (but that I refuse to give lock status):

Friday- Boise State (-7) SAN JOSE STATE (much like the Duke corollary last week, I want to make San Jose St. prove they aren't your older brother's San Jose St.)

OHIO STATE (+2) Penn State (Ohio Stadium creates an exceptional atmosphere at night. Give me the much-talented home team and the points)

KANSAS (-1) Texas Tech (I like Tech in this game, but that's what Vegas wants. Therefore, I'm taking Rock Chalk. Sucker line? Check. Texas Tech looking ahead? Check. Road Game? Check.)

Cincinnati (-2.5) UCONN (I hate UC, but BK can coach. With Pike back, this looks like a nice UC win.)

MIAMI U (-5.5) Kent St. (This line is incredible. It opened at 8 and has moved 2.5 points already. It may settle around 4.5. by kick. Maybe a little (lot) heart pick, but Miami looked rejuvenated behind RFR QB Clay Belton last week. Look for special teams and the run game to lift Miami to a nice TD+ win in front of the Landes family on Homecoming.)

Now to the main event. This week's lock takes us to beautiful Toledo, OH for a MAC West battle.

Central Michigan (-4.5) TOLEDO

Toledo grabbed headlines a couple weeks ago with a huge win in the Big House. What the world hasn't seen is the rest of Toledo's year. Included is a drubbing at No. Illinois, a beatdown to Ball St. and an egg laid at home to Florida International. A very anemic offense will need to keep pace with a CMU attack that features MAC BMOC Dan LeFevour. I see CMU hanging at least 31 without Toledo having enough answers down the stretch. A spirited effort from the Rockets ultimately falls short to one of the finer MAC squads.

Predicted Score:

CMU 35 Toledo 27

Phil's LPLOTW to date:

2-0

1 comment:

Flip said...

Its possible you know too much about MAC football.

although I agree with the Bearcats Pick, best football team in Cincinnati 3 years running. With the possible exception of St. X